Return-Path: Received: from vps.transocean.com by vps.transocean.com with LMTP id +DHpFBBFjFoZbwAAInt2oQ ; Tue, 20 Feb 2018 07:56:00 -0800 Return-path: Envelope-to: charley@transocean.com, stephen@transocean.com Delivery-date: Tue, 20 Feb 2018 07:56:00 -0800 Received: from cpe-172-101-175-168.rochester.res.rr.com ([172.101.175.168]:53755 helo=TOLaptop01) by vps.transocean.com with esmtpa (Exim 4.89_1) (envelope-from ) id 1eoAGt-0007TR-7S; Tue, 20 Feb 2018 07:56:00 -0800 Reply-To: From: "Mary Gaesser" To: Cc: Subject: Winter Curve Final Date: Tue, 20 Feb 2018 10:52:02 -0500 Organization: TO Message-ID: <003701d3aa62$c0bcc530$42364f90$@transocean.com> MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0038_01D3AA38.D7EB5110" X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook 16.0 Thread-Index: AdOqYpqA+bOVotuXQxWJ3fVoidMaZQ== Content-Language: en-us This is a multipart message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0038_01D3AA38.D7EB5110 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit High level because I like to move on the reforecasting. I have made the updated and will forward on the Andrea for Zarko Fixing Winter, not change in holiday UPDATED 2018 Actual Quality YEAR JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Quality FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC HOLIDAY 2018 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 15% 48% 32% 100% HOLIDAY Anchor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 193% 286% 1479% 4512% 3041% WINTER 2018 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 14% 35% 25% 100% WINTER Anchor 126% 100% 100% 100% 100% 252% 363% 807% 1863% 1371% My notes and summary of what I think happen; would need to dig deeper if you want back story: We did not redo Holiday and Winter 2018 curves in Dec as you were not buying. We flatten the 2017 curves out.. We thought that Dec and Jan would be a higher percent to total. I agree that we should use really curve since winter Dec 2017 finished a lot like Holiday and was not flat to November as we had hoped. History 2018 curves 2017 curve Quality YEAR JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec HOLIDAY 2018 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 15% 48% 32% 100% 2017 HOLIDAY 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 6% 20% 48% 24% 100% WINTER 2018 7% 3% 5% 4% 3% 2% 4% 5% 7% 15% 23% 23% 100% 2017 WINTER 7% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 12% 42% 22% 100% Mary Gaesser Inventory Manager Trans-Ocean Imports 914.949.5656 | 914.949.5694 fax | 612.501.1956 cell Mary@transocean.com Confidentiality Notification: If you are not the intended recipient, please do not disclose, disseminate, copy, distribute or take any action in reliance on the contents of this electronic transmission. If you have received this electronic transmission in error, please notify us by telephone and immediately delete this message. As E-mail transmissions cannot be guaranteed secure or error-free the sender does not accept any liability for errors or omissions in the contents of this message, which arise because of electronic transmission. Any documents accompanying this electronic transmission and the information contained herein belong to the sender and are privileged and intended only for the use of the individual(s) named above. ------=_NextPart_000_0038_01D3AA38.D7EB5110 Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

 

High = level because I like to move on the reforecasting.

 

I have made = the updated and will forward on the Andrea for Zarko

 

Fixing Winter, not change in = holiday

UPDATED 2018 = Actual

 

<= td width=3D37 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:28.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

MAR

<= td width=3D47 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:35.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

APR

<= td width=3D37 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:28.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

MAY

<= td width=3D37 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:28.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

JUN

<= td width=3D37 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:28.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

JUL

<= td width=3D37 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:28.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

AUG

<= td width=3D37 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:28.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

SEP

<= td width=3D44 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:33.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

OCT

<= td width=3D44 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:33.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

NOV

<= td width=3D44 nowrap valign=3Dbottom style=3D'width:33.0pt;border:solid = windowtext 1.0pt;border-left:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in = 5.4pt;height:12.75pt'>

DEC

<= /tr>

100%

100%

100%

100%

193%

286%

1479%

4512%

3041%

100%

100%

100%

100%

252%

363%

807%

1863%

1371%

Quality

YEAR

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

 

Quality

FEB

HOLIDAY

2018

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

15%

48%

32%

100%

HOLIDAY

Anchor

100%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WINTER

2018

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

5%

14%

35%

25%

100%

WINTER

Anchor

126%

 

 

My notes  and summary of = what I think happen;  would need to dig deeper if you want back = story:

 

We did not = redo Holiday and Winter 2018 curves in Dec as you were not = buying.

 

We flatten the 2017 curves out..  We thought that = Dec and Jan would be a higher percent to total.

 

I agree = that we should use really curve since winter Dec 2017 finished a lot =  like Holiday and was not flat to November as we had = hoped.

 

 

 

 

History

 

2018       = curves           &= nbsp;           &n= bsp;           &nb= sp;           &nbs= p;            = ;            =             &= nbsp;           &n= bsp;           &nb= sp;           &nbs= p;            = ;            =             &= nbsp;           &n= bsp;           &nb= sp;           &nbs= p; =             &= nbsp;   2017 curve

 

42%

22%

100%

 

 

 

 

 

Mary = Gaesser

Inventory = Manager
Trans-Ocean Imports


914.949.565= 6 | 914.949.5694 fax | 612.501.1956 cell
Mary@transocean.com

=

 

 

Confidentiality= Notification: If you are not the intended recipient, please do not = disclose, disseminate, copy, distribute or take any action in reliance = on the contents of this electronic transmission.  If you have = received this electronic transmission in error, please notify us by = telephone and immediately delete this message. As E-mail transmissions = cannot be guaranteed secure or error-free the sender does not accept any = liability for errors or omissions in the contents of this message, which = arise because of electronic transmission. Any documents accompanying = this electronic transmission and the information contained herein belong = to the sender and are privileged and intended only for the use of the = individual(s) named above.

 

------=_NextPart_000_0038_01D3AA38.D7EB5110--

Quality

YEAR

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

 

Jan =

 Feb

 Mar

 Apr

 May

 Jun

 Jul

 Aug

 Sep

 Oct

 Nov

 Dec

HOLIDAY

2018

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

15%

48%

32%

100%

2017 =

HOLIDAY

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

6%

20%

48%

24%

100%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WINTER

2018

7%

3%

5%

4%

3%

2%

4%

5%

7%

15%

23%

23%

100%

2017

WINTER

7%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

6%

12%