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Date: Tue, 13 Mar 2018 07:06:02 +0000
From: "Amazon.ca Vendor Central" <vendor-central@amazon.ca>
To: "louk@transocean.com" <louk@transocean.com>
Message-ID: <010001621e2e2286-b81f2b10-7183-4e61-8efc-d4aa232866b1-000000@email.amazonses.com>
Subject: Amazon Retail Analytics Basic and Premium Website Unification
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 Content preview:  Hello, On March 14th, 2018, Amazon Retail Analytics (ARA)
   will have a single, unified website for both ARA Basic and ARA Premium. This
    new site launched in fall 2017 for ARA Premium subscribers, and now offers
    an enhanced experience by increasing speed, reliability and usability for
    all ARA users. [...] 
 
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Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Hello,

On March 14th, 2018, Amazon Retail Analytics (ARA) will have a single, unif=
ied website for both ARA Basic and ARA Premium. This new site launched in f=
all 2017 for ARA Premium subscribers, and now offers an enhanced experience=
 by increasing speed, reliability and usability for all ARA users.

ARA Basic users will continue to have the same level of access as they did =
in the old website, but we've redesigned the report structure to ensure tha=
t reports go beyond plain data points and provide ARA Basic users with more=
 actionable information. ARA Premium members will continue to have access t=
o additional features like: historical data access, email scheduling, geogr=
aphic sales, real-time sales, Amazon search terms, and customer behavior re=
ports.

Both ARA Basic and ARA Premium users can access the new site here: https://=
arap.amazon.ca

You can also find a map of the metrics that are currently available on the =
new site here: https://arap.amazon.ca/metriclocator

What is changing for ARA Premium Users?

- For ARA Premium Users the key change is the addition of the manufacturing=
/sourcing view delineation and the enhanced Forecasting Report (more detail=
s outlined below)
- ARA Premium users will not have to take any action because they were alre=
ady migrated to the enhanced website in 2017

What is changing for ARA Basic Users?

- ARA Basic Users with internal reporting tools designed to work with the o=
ld ARA Basic site's reports will need to adjust those to align with the new=
 report structure on the new unified site
- The Forecasting Report change will be one of the key changes during this =
launch

ARA Basic can be accessed from both the old and new sites for 30 days after=
 the launch of the unified ARA site, and users may switch from one to the o=
ther. After 30 days, the old ARA Basic site will be deprecated and no longe=
r accessible.

Forecasting Report Metric Changes:

The Forecast Report is being revamped as part of this launch. Similar to th=
e current Forecast Report, it will only be available to manufacturers, not =
distributors.

Why are we updating the forecast?

Historically, ARA Basic and ARA Premium offered different demand forecast m=
etrics, which created a disjointed experience for vendors using both produc=
ts. Based on vendor feedback, we are now unifying the forecast metrics show=
n in both products. Secondly, this report will provide a forecast signal cl=
ose to our customer demand, making it easier for you to provide reliable su=
pply.

What is the change?

The new ARA forecast report will display Amazon's weekly forecast estimate =
that is closest to our actual customer demand for a rolling 26 weeks. It wi=
ll not include Amazon's safety stock allowance like the previous forecast s=
ignal. It will also give you the ability to view/download other forecast co=
nfidence levels (P-level, explained in the next question, mean, P70, P80 an=
d P90 will all be available). Our confirmation rate expectation will contin=
ue to be 100%.

The forecast values are estimates of projected customer demand and not that=
 of the orders Amazon will place to you. This is the best estimation of the=
 customer demand that we can provide and should be used as a guideline for =
planning your inventory. You need to apply safety stock requirement guideli=
nes on top of this forecast as it does not account for Amazon's safety stoc=
k.

What is a P-level?

P-level stands for probability level (it is similar to confidence interval =
in a bell curve). The P-level depicts the estimated stock to carry to satis=
fy customer demand with x% probability of success. For example:

- P80 indicates the stock level that will satisfy customer demand with 80% =
probability
- If the forecast at P90 is say 500 units, the probability of the demand be=
ing less than or equal to 500 is 90%. This also means that there is a 10% p=
robability that the customer demand will be more than 500 units

The higher the P-level, the more inventory you will have to carry to satisf=
y customer demand at a higher probability level.

How to use P-levels

- You can use the mean forecast if your planning horizon is longer (like ca=
ses where the planning horizon is greater than 6 weeks), keeping in mind th=
at this forecast value does not include Amazon's safety stock
- You can use the P70, P80 or P90 forecast depending on your risk tolerance=
 based on your product profile, planned promotions, seasonality and the len=
gth of planning horizon
- You can also consult with your Amazon Retail partner/In-Stock Manager as =
well as your internal sales and marketing teams when deciding which P-level=
 to use

For any additional questions please click 'Contact Us' at the top of the AR=
A Website or visit the New ARA Website FAQs here: https://arap.amazon.ca/fa=
q

Thank you for doing business with us,

Amazon Vendor Central

If you have any questions, sign in to Vendor Central at https:/vendorcentra=
l.amazon.ca and click 'Contact Us' on any page. Please do not reply directl=
y to this email.

=C2=A92018 Amazon.com, Inc. or its affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Vendor =
Central is a trademark of Amazon.com, Inc. or its affiliates. Amazon.com, I=
nc., 410 Terry Ave N., Seattle, WA 98109-5210.

------=_Part_455747_785163560.1520924762764
Content-Type: text/html; charset=UTF-8
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

<img src=3D"https://www.amazon.ca/gp/r.html?C=3D1E0VW77S2ALF5&K=3D1OXER6Q24=
QUDW&M=3Durn:rtfm:msg:2018031307053918876abffc0143849658140909580255&R=3D3U=
EBIUZJNOS8R&T=3DO&U=3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fimages-na.ssl-images-amazon.com%2Fimage=
s%2FG%2F01%2Fnav%2Ftransp.gif&H=3DA82P3GEQB6SKOPO9AUFHJZMFTRUA&ref_=3Dpe_30=
530_275917420" />
<img src=3D"https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/G/01/advantage/v=
endor-central/site-logo._V46786073_.gif"><br><br/><br/><a name=3D"1"></a><p=
>Hello,</p><p>On March 14th, 2018, Amazon Retail=20
Analytics (ARA) will have a single, unified website for both ARA Basic=20
and ARA Premium. This new site launched in fall 2017 for ARA Premium=20
subscribers, and now offers an enhanced experience by increasing speed,=20
reliability and usability for all ARA users.</p><p>ARA Basic
 users will continue to have the same level of access as they did in the
 old website, but we=E2=80=99ve redesigned the report structure to ensure t=
hat=20
reports go beyond plain data points and provide ARA Basic users with=20
more actionable information. ARA Premium members will continue to have=20
access to additional features like: historical data access, email=20
scheduling, geographic sales, real-time sales, Amazon search terms, and=20
customer behavior reports.</p><p>Both ARA Basic and ARA=20
Premium users can access the new site here: <a href=3D"https://www.amazon.c=
a/gp/r.html?C=3D1E0VW77S2ALF5&K=3D1OXER6Q24QUDW&M=3Durn:rtfm:msg:2018031307=
053918876abffc0143849658140909580255&R=3D3UEBIUZJNOS8R&T=3DC&U=3Dhttps%3A%2=
F%2Farap.amazon.ca%3Fref_%3Dpe_30530_275917420&H=3DVVABUDARBXCA9XR7UYVQWAWE=
EKUA&ref_=3Dpe_30530_275917420">https://arap.amazon.ca</a></p><p>You
 can also find a map of the metrics that are currently available on the=20
new site here: <a href=3D"https://www.amazon.ca/gp/r.html?C=3D1E0VW77S2ALF5=
&K=3D1OXER6Q24QUDW&M=3Durn:rtfm:msg:2018031307053918876abffc014384965814090=
9580255&R=3D3UEBIUZJNOS8R&T=3DC&U=3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Farap.amazon.ca%2Fmetriclo=
cator%3Fref_%3Dpe_30530_275917420&H=3DTASEK4R2S7TX0YVMMVKZOOM36IYA&ref_=3Dp=
e_30530_275917420">https://arap.amazon.ca/metriclocator</a></p><p><strong>W=
hat
 is changing for ARA Premium Users?</strong></p><ul>=20
<li>For ARA Premium Users the key change is the addition of the=20
manufacturing/sourcing view delineation and the enhanced Forecasting=20
Report (more details outlined below)</li> <li>ARA Premium=20
users will not have to take any action because they were already=20
migrated to the enhanced website in=20
2017</li></ul><p><strong>What is changing for=20
ARA Basic Users?</strong></p><ul> <li>ARA Basic=20
Users with internal reporting tools designed to work with the old ARA=20
Basic site=E2=80=99s reports will need to adjust those to align with the ne=
w=20
report structure on the new unified site</li><li>The=20
Forecasting Report change will be one of the key changes during this=20
launch</li></ul><p>ARA Basic can be accessed from both
 the old and new sites for 30 days after the launch of the unified ARA=20
site, and users may switch from one to the other. After 30 days, the old
 ARA Basic site will be deprecated and no longer=20
accessible.</p><p><strong>Forecasting Report Metric=20
Changes:</strong></p><p>The Forecast Report is being=20
revamped as part of this launch. Similar to the current Forecast Report,
 it will only be available to manufacturers, not=20
distributors.</p><p><strong>Why are we updating the=20
forecast?</strong></p><p>Historically, ARA Basic and=20
ARA Premium offered different demand forecast metrics, which created a=20
disjointed experience for vendors using both products. Based on vendor=20
feedback, we are now unifying the forecast metrics shown in both=20
products. Secondly, this report will provide a forecast signal close to=20
our customer demand, making it easier for you to provide reliable=20
supply.</p><p><strong>What is the=20
change?</strong></p><p>The new ARA forecast report=20
will display Amazon=E2=80=99s weekly forecast estimate that is closest to o=
ur=20
actual customer demand for a rolling 26 weeks. It <strong>will=20
not</strong> include Amazon=E2=80=99s safety stock allowance like the=20
previous forecast signal. It will also give you the ability to=20
view/download other forecast confidence levels (P-level, explained in=20
the next question, mean, P70, P80 and P90 will all be available). Our=20
confirmation rate expectation will continue to be=20
100%.</p><p>The forecast values are estimates of projected=20
customer demand and not that of the orders Amazon will place to you.=20
This is the best estimation of the customer demand that we can provide=20
and should be used as a guideline for planning your inventory. You need=20
to apply safety stock requirement guidelines on top of this forecast as=20
it does not account for Amazon=E2=80=99s safety=20
stock.</p><p><strong>What is a=20
P-level?</strong></p><p>P-level stands for probability
 level (it is similar to confidence interval in a bell curve). The=20
P-level depicts the estimated stock to carry to satisfy customer demand=20
with x% probability of success. For example:</p><ul>=20
<li>P80 indicates the stock level that will satisfy customer=20
demand with 80% probability</li><li>If the forecast at P90=20
is say 500 units, the probability of the demand being less than or equal
 to 500 is 90%. This also means that there is a 10% probability that the
 customer demand will be more than 500=20
units</li></ul><p>The higher the P-level, the more=20
inventory you will have to carry to satisfy customer demand at a higher=20
probability level.</p><p><strong>How to use=20
P-levels</strong></p><ul> <li>You can use the=20
mean forecast if your planning horizon is longer (like cases where the=20
planning horizon is greater than 6 weeks), keeping in mind that this=20
forecast value does not include Amazon=E2=80=99s safety stock</li>=20
<li>You can use the P70, P80 or P90 forecast depending on your=20
risk tolerance based on your product profile, planned promotions,=20
seasonality and the length of planning horizon</li> <li>You=20
can also consult with your Amazon Retail partner/In-Stock Manager as=20
well as your internal sales and marketing teams when deciding which=20
P-level to use</li></ul><p>For any additional=20
questions please click 'Contact Us' at the top of the ARA Website or=20
visit the New ARA Website FAQs here: <a href=3D"https://www.amazon.ca/gp/r.=
html?C=3D1E0VW77S2ALF5&K=3D1OXER6Q24QUDW&M=3Durn:rtfm:msg:20180313070539188=
76abffc0143849658140909580255&R=3D3UEBIUZJNOS8R&T=3DC&U=3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fara=
p.amazon.ca%2Ffaq%3Fref_%3Dpe_30530_275917420&H=3DGFUABQO1H0DJ3GZTNROJZQMNL=
F0A&ref_=3Dpe_30530_275917420">https://arap.amazon.ca/faq</a></p><p>Thank
 you for doing business with us,</p><p>Amazon Vendor=20
Central</p><br/><br/><p>If
you have any questions, sign in to Vendor Central at <a href=3D"https://www=
.amazon.ca/gp/r.html?C=3D1E0VW77S2ALF5&K=3D1OXER6Q24QUDW&M=3Durn:rtfm:msg:2=
018031307053918876abffc0143849658140909580255&R=3D3UEBIUZJNOS8R&T=3DC&U=3Dh=
ttps%3A%2F%2Fvendorcentral.amazon.ca%2F%3Fref_%3Dpe_30530_275917420&H=3DSG9=
GDBWXQL1EJ3F9WGFXCZYFMSGA&ref_=3Dpe_30530_275917420">https:/vendorcentral.a=
mazon.ca</a>
 and
click 'Contact Us' on any page. Please do not reply directly to this=20
email.</p>

<p>=C2=A92018 Amazon.com, Inc. or its affiliates. All Rights
Reserved. Vendor Central is a trademark of Amazon.com, Inc. or its=20
affiliates.
Amazon.com, Inc., 410 Terry Ave N., Seattle, WA 98109-5210.</p>
<img src=3D"https://www.amazon.ca/gp/r.html?C=3D1E0VW77S2ALF5&K=3D1OXER6Q24=
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EBIUZJNOS8R&T=3DE&U=3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fimages-na.ssl-images-amazon.com%2Fimage=
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